Emerging Market Banks & Sovereigns

Emerging Market Banks & Sovereigns Workshop

Participants will be equipped to:
Use financial, qualitative and market indicators to benchmark emerging market bank performance
Understand the key drivers of bank and sovereign - risk and anticipate credit migration
Recognize the impact of the operating environment on bank performance and strategy.

Content
ANALYTIC OVERVIEW
Structured approach
Differing approaches - banks, rating agencies, regulators, equity and bond investors
Purpose payback model - application of structured approach to emerging markets
Key risks in sovereigns and financial institutions
Market indicators - equity, bond and derivative pricing as early warning signals
SOVEREIGN RISK
Key structural issues - Latin America, Eastern Europe, Asia and Africa
Key macro economic indicators - GDP, interest, inflation and FX rates, current and capital account, savings and investment, unemployment and etc.
Sustainable debt levels - public and private sector; domestic and external debt and liquidity
Social and political factors - political stability, labor force, legal system, trade and political links, contagion
BANK RISK
Operating environment
Banking system structure and competition
Regulation and supervision - prudential supervision, key regulations, proposed BIS guidelines
Financial fundamentals
Statement logic, limited disclosure, accounting conventions
Business risk - loan quality and reserve adequacy; off balance sheet exposures; trading and investment risk, related parties
Financial risk - stability of funding, gap management, liquidity, capital adequacy
Performance risk - overall return, stability of income, control of expenses
Early warning signals - financial and non-financial indicators of distress
Management, franchise and ownership
Management - structured approach: strategy, systems, skills and structure
Risk management - credit, market, operating liquity, legal and reputation risk
Franchise and competitive advantage
Equity perspective - key valuation drivers
Shareholder types and support
Organizational structures - holding companies double leverage and other risks
Support
Lender of last resort - safety net from shareholders and/or government.

A three day workshop for credit risk management, origination, and fixed income professionals focusing on emerging markets. A structured approach to the analysis of emerging market banks and sovereign exposures, including limited disclosure situations.

Content
ANALYTIC OVERVIEW
Structured approach
Differing approaches - banks, rating agencies, regulators, equity and bond investors
Purpose payback model - application of structured approach to emerging markets
Key risks in sovereigns and financial institutions
Market indicators - equity, bond and derivative pricing as early warning signals
SOVEREIGN RISK
Key structural issues - Latin America, Eastern Europe, Asia and Africa
Key macro economic indicators - GDP, interest, inflation and FX rates, current and capital account, savings and investment, unemployment and etc.
Sustainable debt levels - public and private sector; domestic and external debt and liquidity
Social and political factors - political stability, labor force, legal system, trade and political links, contagion
BANK RISK
Operating environment
Banking system structure and competition
Regulation and supervision - prudential supervision, key regulations, proposed BIS guidelines
Financial fundamentals
Statement logic, limited disclosure, accounting conventions
Business risk - loan quality and reserve adequacy; off balance sheet exposures; trading and investment risk, related parties
Financial risk - stability of funding, gap management, liquidity, capital adequacy
Performance risk - overall return, stability of income, control of expenses
Early warning signals - financial and non-financial indicators of distress
Management, franchise and ownership
Management - structured approach: strategy, systems, skills and structure
Risk management - credit, market, operating liquity, legal and reputation risk
Franchise and competitive advantage
Equity perspective - key valuation drivers
Shareholder types and support
Organizational structures - holding companies double leverage and other risks
Support
Lender of last resort - safety net from shareholders and/or government.

A three day workshop for credit risk management, origination, and fixed income professionals focusing on emerging markets. A structured approach to the analysis of emerging market banks and sovereign exposures, including limited disclosure situations.

ANALYTIC OVERVIEW
Structured approach
Differing approaches - banks, rating agencies, regulators, equity and bond investors
Purpose payback model - application of structured approach to emerging markets
Key risks in sovereigns and financial institutions
Market indicators - equity, bond and derivative pricing as early warning signals
SOVEREIGN RISK
Key structural issues - Latin America, Eastern Europe, Asia and Africa
Key macro economic indicators - GDP, interest, inflation and FX rates, current and capital account, savings and investment, unemployment and etc.
Sustainable debt levels - public and private sector; domestic and external debt and liquidity
Social and political factors - political stability, labor force, legal system, trade and political links, contagion
BANK RISK
Operating environment
Banking system structure and competition
Regulation and supervision - prudential supervision, key regulations, proposed BIS guidelines
Financial fundamentals
Statement logic, limited disclosure, accounting conventions
Business risk - loan quality and reserve adequacy; off balance sheet exposures; trading and investment risk, related parties
Financial risk - stability of funding, gap management, liquidity, capital adequacy
Performance risk - overall return, stability of income, control of expenses
Early warning signals - financial and non-financial indicators of distress
Management, franchise and ownership
Management - structured approach: strategy, systems, skills and structure
Risk management - credit, market, operating liquity, legal and reputation risk
Franchise and competitive advantage
Equity perspective - key valuation drivers
Shareholder types and support
Organizational structures - holding companies double leverage and other risks
Support
Lender of last resort - safety net from shareholders and/or government.

A three day workshop for credit risk management, origination, and fixed income professionals focusing on emerging markets. A structured approach to the analysis of emerging market banks and sovereign exposures, including limited disclosure situations.

Content
ANALYTIC OVERVIEW
Structured approach
Differing approaches - banks, rating agencies, regulators, equity and bond investors
Purpose payback model - application of structured approach to emerging markets
Key risks in sovereigns and financial institutions
Market indicators - equity, bond and derivative pricing as early warning signals
SOVEREIGN RISK
Key structural issues - Latin America, Eastern Europe, Asia and Africa
Key macro economic indicators - GDP, interest, inflation and FX rates, current and capital account, savings and investment, unemployment and etc.
Sustainable debt levels - public and private sector; domestic and external debt and liquidity
Social and political factors - political stability, labor force, legal system, trade and political links, contagion
BANK RISK
Operating environment
Banking system structure and competition
Regulation and supervision - prudential supervision, key regulations, proposed BIS guidelines
Financial fundamentals
Statement logic, limited disclosure, accounting conventions
Business risk - loan quality and reserve adequacy; off balance sheet exposures; trading and investment risk, related parties
Financial risk - stability of funding, gap management, liquidity, capital adequacy
Performance risk - overall return, stability of income, control of expenses
Early warning signals - financial and non-financial indicators of distress
Management, franchise and ownership
Management - structured approach: strategy, systems, skills and structure
Risk management - credit, market, operating liquity, legal and reputation risk
Franchise and competitive advantage
Equity perspective - key valuation drivers
Shareholder types and support
Organizational structures - holding companies double leverage and other risks
Support
Lender of last resort - safety net from shareholders and/or government.

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